Poll: Obama ahead by 10 points in Michigan
By John Irwin on September 13, 2012 3:45 pm / 4 comments
A new poll shows President Barack Obama leading Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney by 10 points in Michigan as conservative groups pull back advertising statewide.
A poll conducted by EPIC-MRA for the Detroit Free Press and other media outlets saw Obama take a commanding lead in Romney’s home state following the Democratic National Convention, leading 47 percent to 37 percent. The polling firm’s previous Michigan poll, conducted after the Republican National Convention, showed a much narrower lead for the president, 49 percent to 46 percent.
Obama has the lead among independent voters at 36 percent to 27 percent, a big shift from previous EPIC-MRA polls that showed Romney with the lead among that crucial bloc.
Obama and other Democrats spent much of the DNC calling the 2009 bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler one of the major successes of the Obama administration, a message that appears to have resonated with Michigan voters.
“When the whole theme for the Democrats is Osama bin Laden is dead and GM is alive … that’s got to help in Michigan and Ohio and a couple other states as well,” EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn told the Free Press.
The poll may justify why the Romney campaign and outside groups supporting Romney are pulling back advertising in Michigan and instead focusing on other, more competitive states.
$4.2 million has been spent on advertising by the Romney campaign in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire since the end of the conventions, according to the San Francisco Chronicle. Despite claims from the campaign otherwise, it appears that Michigan and Pennsylvania, and their combined 36 electoral votes, have been largely ceded to Obama.
The Romney campaign is not alone in giving up on Michigan. The pro-Romney super PACs Americans for Prosperity and American Crossroads have also stopped spending money in the state, meaning Michigan is likely Obama’s state to lose.
Abandoning Michigan and Pennsylvania and instead focusing on the other nine states means Romney’s path to victory is much narrower.
If those two states are put in Obama’s column, the president would have a 237-191 electoral vote lead on his challenger, with 110 votes in play. 270 electoral votes are needed to win.
That means Romney must win somewhere between five and eight of those nine swing states to be elected. According to the Real Clear Politics polling averages of those nine swing states, he currently leads in two: North Carolina and Virginia.
Most scenarios involve Romney winning both Florida and Ohio, the two biggest prizes in play. No Republican has ever won the White House without Ohio and no Republican since Calvin Coolidge in 1924 has won without Florida.
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4 Comments
Let’s examine this. First, the Free-Press is the labor-loving, Democrat Party House Organ. Remember back in 2006, they had Affirmative Action losing and it passed by a big margin!
What nut would vote to re-hire Obama?
*Jobless claims up again this week.
*Median income, lowest since 1995
*Robbed 716 billion from Medicaid (seniors will suffer)to pay for Obamacare.
*Real unemployed rates when you factor in people who have given up—over 11 percent. Up to 23 percent unemployed or underemployed, according to Gallup.
*College grads having difficult time finding work.
*Ran up almost 6 trillion in debt spending in 4 years. Biggest deficit spending president for 4 years in US History.
*Has a nut for a vice-president. Yesterday or today, he’s at Wright State University in Ohio and kept saying, Wayne State (that’s in Michigan, Joe). When in Virginia, thinks he’s in North Carolina. Wants to put chains back on the hands of minorities in this country. That clip has been played over and over the past month.
*Through God out of the Democratic Convention. Then, had to falsify the voice vote to put God back in. See clip on youtube if you missed the Convention.
*Thinks David Letterman is more important than the Israeli Prime Minister when Israel is ready to be nuked by Iran.
*His Libyan Ambassador shot dead, first time we’ve had an ambassador assassinated since 1979. Three others slaughtered. What does he do? Immediately, hops his 747 for a campaign party trip to Las Vegas. Instead of mourning the loss of 4 brave Americans and figuring out how to stop the terrorists from blowing up more American embassies, he goes partying! Absolutely pathetic!
*Now comes word tonight, Obama knew of Embassy attacks and did nothing!
*He closed the Pontiac plant and hundreds of GM and Chrysler dealerships, putting tens of thousands of Michigan and Americans out of work! Ask the Delphi workers what they think of Barack.
*Can’t decide if Egypt is an ally or not. I guess his teleprompter wasn’t working.
*Insults every small businessperson in Michigan and nationwide saying they didn’t build their business.
*CNN, an Obama friends, even admits his claim he created 4.5 million new jobs is bogus. More like 300,000.
I could go on and on. How could anyone in Michigan be so stupid to vote for these two clowns–Obama and Biden. Bill Clinton was tolerable. Obama/Biden ranks with Carter as the absolute worst presidents of all time.
Carter was up 8 in 1980 and Reagan cleaned his clock. Don’t believe the Obama PR machine—the Free Press.
what I find strange is why would you take the time to write a comment that’s just as long as the article itself? Do you really care that much about it? In my opinion, the reporter isn’t showing any bias, just reporting on a poll he found.
I never criticized or mentioned Mr. Irwin. I’m questioning the sanity of the Michigan voter who is going to vote for Obama. Mr. Irwin did a great job presenting the facts. Re-read what I said. I’m questioning the Free-Press and the Obama voters.
Sure, you can keep going on and on making crap up. So what?