Former CMU quarterback Dan LeFevour’s performance at the Senior Bowl last weekend has CMU fans and supporters thinking he is an early-round pick in April’s 2010 NFL Draft.
After completing 5-of-10 passes for 97 yards and a touchdown and also rushing for a touchdown, those assumptions would seem to hold weight.
After all, he is the Football Bowl Subdivision’s career leader for most total touchdowns scored (148) and measured in the pre-bowl activities at a clean 6-foot-3 and 229 pounds. He also won the North’s Most Outstanding Player award for his game productivity.
But not all spectators and NFL Draft analysts are on board.
NFL draft guru Scott Wright, president of DraftCountdown.com, has been studying and analyzing the NFL draft since 1993.
Wright said LeFevour remains nothing more than a 4th or 5th round pick and, although former Florida quarterback Tim Tebow struggled during the week in Mobile, Ala., he is still the higher-rated quarterback.
(The following is a question-and-answer session between Sports Editor Andrew Stover and Scott Wright, president of Draftcountdown.com)
Scott Wright: None of the quarterbacks were really great this year. It’s kind of the second year in a row; I don’t think any of these quarterbacks are anything more than, that I would be comfortable if I was drafting, taking before the 4th round. It just wasn’t a great crop of quarterbacks. With that being said, LeFevour was probably a little better than I thought. In a lot of ways, he’s a poor man’s Tim Tebow. Very similar size — LeFevour came in 6-foot-3, 229 pounds, so adequate size. The arm was about where I thought it was. Maybe a little bit stronger, (but he) does not have a great arm. (He) struggles to get the ball downfield. He’s alright in the short-to-intermediate range but he can’t really get the ball downfield real well.
Andrew Stover: As far as going to a pro-style offense and taking snaps under center, how do you think he did as far as taking those snaps, drop backs — were there many false steps? — was he better in that regard than what you thought going in compared to a similar case in Florida’s Tim Tebow?
SW: I think he did fine with that. Obviously one person can’t watch every single snap … I saw the quarterbacks for the North a couple of different times in the week. As opposed to Tim Tebow, who was one day, literally, a half a dozen snaps I think he messed up. I did not see that with LeFevour. The footwork was OK. The biggest thing is just, it’s not just the snaps, it’s reading the defense while you’re dropping back, and that’s the type of stuff he’s going to have to continue to get used to. He’s capable of doing it, a lot of that stuff, I think is just reps. And the same case for Tebow — I think both are capable of doing it, it’s just a question of time. I’d certainly think he’s capable of doing it, and he didn’t embarrass himself or look really bad in that regard by any stretch.
AS: How do you compare the actual game to the week of practice from a scouting standpoint, and did anything change from one to the other?
SW: Obviously the highlight of the week for LeFevour was the game, which he played pretty well in. Unfortunately for him, by that point, the NFL people had gone home. The NFL people obviously place a much higher emphasis on the practices than they do for the game. And to a certain degree, I think that’s a little bit of a mistake … I think there’s something to be said for guys who step up on the big stage when the lights come on and perform well against the best competition that they’ve ever faced to this point. Honestly, it will be a positive that he performed well in the game, but it’s not something that the scouts are going to say, ‘Oh, we’re jumping him up two rounds because he played well in the game.’ By and large, their evaluations were done during the week of practices. I don’t think his performance for the game — it’s going to help — but I don’t think it’s going to make a huge difference.
AS: In our previous interview back in October, you said for guys like LeFevour, the Senior Bowl would be so big to show that he can compete with the upper echelon of talent. In the grand scheme of things, is his stock trending up or is it equal to where it was when he was coming in?
SW: He did a good job. He certainly proved that he belonged at the Senior Bowl and he did a good job. I guess if there was a gun to my head and I had to pick, I’d say his stock is maybe trending up. But I also wouldn’t place him among the top guys — like Dexter McCluster from Ole Miss or Myron Rolle from Florida State — these guys who had great weeks and jumped their stock maybe a couple of rounds. I definitely wouldn’t put him in that category. Gun to my head, I’d say he helped himself, but not to a huge degree. I still think he’s going to go somewhere in the mid-rounds, somewhere probably 4th-5th round probably. But that’s generalizing. For me, I think he definitely helped. I think he was more impressive. I wasn’t a huge fan going in. I had him 12 in my quarterback rankings, and he’s going to jump up probably at least three or four spots. He’s going to jump up probably to seven or eight at least.
AS: A poor man’s Tim Tebow, where do they compare as far as their stock? Some say Tebow because of his athleticism and his leadership ability could be a late first to a third (round pick) Where is Tebow compared to LeFevour?
SW: I really don’t think Tebow really helped or hurt himself that much this entire week. A lot’s being made about, ‘Oh, he didn’t play well down there,’ but I don’t think it was anything that anybody didn’t expect. Anyone who knew Tim Tebow and evaluated him, I don’t think anybody was surprised by the way he played. Basically, what concerns people had about him were just validated. With Tebow, he’s not going to change everything about his game, right down to the way he throws the ball in one week or three weeks or 52 weeks. It’s a long, long process. I think Tebow, the people who liked him going into the game still like him. And I think the people that were concerned about him going in, they feel their concerns were validated … Personally, I don’t think he has any business going in the first round, but would not be at all surprised if anybody does it. I just think there’s going to be someone out their that falls in love with him. And as he said, he doesn’t have to convince 32 teams, he only has to convince one. And I think one team will become enamored with him moreso for, I think, his personality and the hoopla and hype surrounding him and his game.
But when you just sit down and throw everything else out the window and just say Player A and Player B, Tim Tebow and Dan LeFevour are a lot closer than people think. Very similar situations, very similar styles and basically share a lot of the same question marks. Tebow is maybe a little faster, more athletic, I think he definitely has a little bit of a stronger arm, but there’s not that much separating them. Personally, I think Tim Tebow is closer to a 4th or 5th round pick like LeFevour than a first round pick.
AS: So the question marks for LeFevour are still the same regarding a lack of a great arm and occasional accuracy issues?
SW: Yeah, definitely. Especially down the field. He doesn’t have the big arm. A little too eager to run, I noticed during the week. That’s something that’ll take some time to get out of him. That was the instinct in (CMU’s) offense. It’s not like he dropped back and went through four or five reads. He dropped back, made one or two reads and, if it wasn’t there, he’d run. And that’s something Tebow’s going to have to deal with too.
It’ll take some time to unlearn some of the bad habits that have been developed over the years in college. It served them well in college, but it doesn’t do them any favors at the next level. One concern that he maybe alleviated to a certain degree — I mentioned this in my scouting report of him — I put leadership concerns. And I should probably re-word it because I didn’t mean it to be that he wasn’t necessarily a good leader, but he didn’t know if he was a ‘rah, rah’ fiery type of leader, really a field general, take charge. I think he showed some signs of that down in Mobile.
AS: You said it only takes one team to fall in love. With that being said, LeFevour is not going to be a 1st round pick, so give me how high he can go and how low he can go at this point, before the combine obviously.
SW: I think a best-case scenario right now would be round three. That wouldn’t totally, completely shock me. Stranger things have happened. Low end could be round six or seven. That’s the thing at the quarterback position. It’s definitely in high demand, but its not like there’s 25 quarterbacks drafted every year. There’s been years where there are only 10 or 11 quarterbacks drafted … I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he fell to six or seven, either. I think he’ll settle in the middle. I’d say probably fifth round is the most likely.
AS: How important is the combine process for a mid-level prospect like LeFevour?
SW: The bench press isn’t going to be a huge thing, but he’ll definitely have the ability to prove himself in the throwing drills at the combine, and that’s kind of a tough situation for quarterbacks at the combine, because they go into it where they’re throwing to receivers that they’re unfamiliar with. It’s kind of a stressful situation … I think the biggest thing you want to see there is, you want to see the arm strength — throwing the deep ball, because one of the biggest concerns with him right now, so hopefully he can maybe show a little better in that regard. (You want to see) the accuracy, because he completed a high percentage of passes in college, but a lot of that is a product of that offense with high-percentage, short passes. You want to see the accuracy on NFL-style throws and NFL-style routes.